BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Elgin Valley
Class: 1A Class Rank: 7 Conference: (14-3) Overall: (20-4) Overall Strength = 69.63
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Away W 70.32 58 51 2A 43 (19- 7) North Linn 0.81 6.19
2 12/05/2003 Home W 83.31 76 47 1A 34 (16- 8) Alburnett 13.79 15.21
3 12/12/2003 Home W * 64.84 64 56 1A 27 (15- 8) Postville -4.68 12.68
4 12/13/2003 Away W 69.00 71 51 2A 88 ( 8-15) East Buchanan -0.52 20.52
5 12/18/2003 Away W * 65.95 59 55 2A 53 (11-13) South Winneshiek -3.57 7.57
6 12/19/2003 Away W * 58.04 71 60 2A 102 ( 4-17) Elkader Central -11.48 22.48
7 01/03/2004 Home W 82.57 77 63 3A 12 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood 13.06 0.94
8 01/06/2004 Away W * 78.36 62 48 2A 35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge 8.85 5.15
9 01/09/2004 Home W * 85.52 64 36 2A 48 (13- 9) Monona MFL MarMac 16.01 11.99
10 01/13/2004 Home W * 73.44 74 61 2A 35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge 3.92 9.08
11 01/15/2004 Home W * 63.13 69 40 1A 109 ( 3-20) Lansing Kee -6.39 * 35.39
12 01/20/2004 Home L * 45.80 57 74 2A 31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley -23.72 6.72
13 01/23/2004 Away L * 52.59 49 57 2A 59 (11-11) Sumner -16.93 8.93
14 01/24/2004 Home W 79.44 90 19 1A 153 ( 0-22) Central City 9.92 * 61.08
15 01/30/2004 Away W * 85.44 55 31 2A 51 (12-10) North Fayette 15.93 8.07
16 02/03/2004 Away W * 63.77 73 47 1A 107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central -5.75 * 31.75
17 02/06/2004 Home W * 72.12 75 46 2A 102 ( 4-17) Elkader Central 2.60 * 26.40
18 02/10/2004 Home W * 64.03 56 50 2A 53 (11-13) South Winneshiek -5.49 11.49
19 02/13/2004 Away W * 84.76 68 44 1A 27 (15- 8) Postville 15.24 8.76
20 02/16/2004 Home W 67.47 82 58 EX 62 ( 1- 2) Spring Grove MN -2.05 * 26.05
21 02/20/2004 Away L * 59.44 59 61 2A 48 (13- 9) Monona MFL MarMac -10.07 8.07
22 02/26/2004 Home W * 69.13 72 37 1A 109 ( 3-20) Lansing Kee -0.39 * 35.39
23 03/01/2004 Home W * 72.84 65 49 1A 27 (15- 8) Postville 3.32 12.68
24 03/03/2004 Neutral L 57.10 54 62 1A 12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg -12.42 4.42
Averages 69.52 66.7 50.1
Best game: 85.52 = 28 point win over Monona MFL MarMac
Worst game: 45.80 = 17 point loss to Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Team stdev: 10.82